Friday, February 15, 2008

The Oscars With My Bookie

Here are the odds for the Oscars. The lines are provided by my bookie. If you're not familiar with the odds to the right, here are how they work. If I wanted to bet No Country for Old Men to win best picture I would have to put down $333 to win a $100 back (obviously it is the favorite at minus 333). However, if I take a flyer on Michael Clayton to win at plus 4000 I would win $4000 for every $100 I put down. Wow. Obviously movie insiders think Old Country is a lock for best picture.

Anyway, have a look at the odds. Let me know what you think. Advice and insights are always appreciated but please no tips like "Bet $1000 on BattleField Earth".

Best Picture

No Country For Old Men-333Bet
There Will Be Blood+400Bet
Michael Clayton+4000Bet

Best ActorBook Closes Feb 24 15:00

Win Only

Daniel Day-Lewis-2500Bet
George Clooney+1400Bet
Johnny Depp+1400Bet
Viggo Mortensen+4000Bet
Tommy Lee Jones+5000Bet

Best ActressBook Closes Feb 24 15:00

Win Only

Julie Christie-200Bet
Marion Cottilard+200Bet
Ellen Page+800Bet
Cate Blanchett+4000Bet
Laura Linney+5000Bet

Oscars - DirectorBook Closes Feb 24 15:00

Win Only

Joel Coen and Ethan Coen-No Country for Old Men-400Bet
Paul Thomas Anderson-There Will Be Blood+450Bet
Julian Schnabel-The Diving Bell and the Butterfly+750Bet
Jason Reitman- Juno+4000Bet
Tony Gilroy- Michael Clayton

Win Only

Javier Bardem-1600Bet
Casey Affleck+1100Bet
Hal Holbrook+1200Bet
Philip Seymour Hoffman+4000Bet
Tom Wilkinson+4000Bet

Oscars - Best Supporting ActressBook Closes Feb 24 15:00

Win Only

Cate Blanchett+130Bet
Amy Ryan+225Bet
Ruby Dee+333Bet
Tilda Swinton+700Bet
Saoirse Ronan

Wow. Again having a look at the odds it appears like for most of the categories the winners are already practically determined. Any dark horses out there?

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